Evo trading system

Evo trading system

Posted: Esocomytymn On: 23.05.2017

Professional Active Money Management. EVO, the Evolutionary Market Timing System. Invests using a market timing strategy applied to Rydex leveraged and unleveraged market index mutual funds.

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Buy, sell and hold signals are generated by an algorithmic, rule-based, proprietary market timing system called "EVO. EVO system development was started in It originally consisted of eight multiple independent, correlated and uncorrelated, market-timing systems based on technical analysis. But EVO has evolved over the years from a system composite based on those eight systems to more than double that number today.

Investment Strategy

The systems use a variety of technical indicators based on historic financial data. Each of the systems is back tested separately and in various combinations with each other to optimize the risk and return performance. The systems and combinations are further integrated to generate a composite system buy or sell signal. When many systems and combinations are aggregated the noise and errors will tend to diversify away while the signal remains.

All positions are based on mechanical timing signals generated by EVO. No discretion is involved.

The EVO 2 Strategy uses the same signals and Rydex funds as EVO 1. The difference is that discretion may be used in implementing the timing and allocation decisions generated by the signals.

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The EVO 3 Strategy applies the same non-discretionary mechanical timing signals and allocations used for EVO 1 to the unleveraged Rydex NASDAQ index fund, which seeks to provide investment results that correspond, before fees and expenses, to the daily performance of the NASDAQ index for long positions, and to the same funds as used in EVO 1 for short and cash positions.

While investment buy and sell decisions generated by the EVO system may have been successful in the past, or have demonstrated the possibilities of success in research studies, the system may be changed or be ineffective when applied to future market environments.

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Buy and sell decisions generated by formulas used in EVO are subject to unique and varying risks in addition to the traditional market risks of equity investing. These risks, described below, are attributed to the mechanical nature of the EVO strategy.

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Patterns of market data and technical indicators that are used in the formulas that have correlated with stock market direction, and were used to identify stock market buy and sell timing decisions in the past, may temporarily or permanently not correlate with the stock market direction in the future.

This could lead to losses when using these formulas.

To mitigate this risk, the EVO strategy is constantly evaluated to determine whether certain formulas should be changed or omitted when such formulas are no longer providing value. A mechanical trading system may generate a series of consecutive losing signals resulting in the compounding of losses more than the stock market over the same time period. Material market conditions such as unpredictable sudden financial, economic, or political news events that affect the market and reverse the direction of the market with respect to the direction forecast by the mechanical formula may have a short term negative impact leading to losses.

While stop loss trades have been infrequent in the past, there is no assurance that the frequency of such trades will not increase in the future. The lower level of volatility is a result of having avoided severe market declines and spending half the time in cash. For more detailed information on EVO development and strategy click here. EVO 3 Strategy The EVO 3 Strategy applies the same non-discretionary mechanical timing signals and allocations used for EVO 1 to the unleveraged Rydex NASDAQ index fund, which seeks to provide investment results that correspond, before fees and expenses, to the daily performance of the NASDAQ index for long positions, and to the same funds as used in EVO 1 for short and cash positions.

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